This forecast is based on a comparison of the current situation and the existence of the market during the crisis of 2008-2009.Under similar conditions, the price of housing sold in rubles fell by 10%, and the dollar - 30%.
Reducing the cost of housing in 2015 is explained by a decrease in the ability of the population to make such expensive purchases.Experts distinguish, for example, reducing the share of shadow incomes.
For those whose incomes are above the average for the shadow income significantly influenced the sanctions imposed by the US and the EU, as well as the fight against corruption and a policy of deofshorizatsiyu economy.
for middle-class people in Russia decrease in the
shadow component was because of higher tax payments for entrepreneurs of small and medium businesses.
Analysts suggest that the shadow incomes of Russians will continue to decline.In 2024 they will be reduced by 2 times compared with 2012.Experts believe that even if the stability of the high level of official income, these circumstances adversely affect the level of demand for expensive purchases.
However, even this reduction in demand is not leading to a drop in housing prices.Construction of buildings and structures in the country did not stop their activities as they happen, and not freezing.Moreover, to prepare the implementation of more and more new sites.Not inferior to new buildings and the secondary housing market.Rumors of a decrease in property values that were prevalent in the summer, motivate home owners to be more accommodating.Real estate has not become cheaper for several reasons, despite all predictions, and therefore the desire of owners to sell their apartment quickly explained.
All of these elements will undoubtedly affect the real estate market.The forecast for 2015 in Russia is not only on the time frame, but also in the regions.For example, the demand for apartments in Moscow is also high and continues to increase.This is due to the fact that the Moscow housing is a source of income from the rental of its rental.
Hence the conclusion that even 6-12 months the price of real estate market will be stable, despite the various influences of certain factors.According to experts, the decline in housing prices will occur in the second half of 2015 and is likely to last for more than a year.