«latent phase" of the Syrian tensions over time developed into "aggressive": armed clashes between government forces and the opposition.However, the civil war in Syria is a threat to the world peace, so aside should not remain one.
Experts believe that after Syria immediately "break out" of Lebanon.The situation in Lebanon in recent years has been volatile.Prosperous travel once the country has become the proscenium for battles between the various factions, not only between Sunnis and Shiites.Lebanon also experienced aggression from Israel.Now many of the leading orientalists believe that Lebanon is destined to become th
e next link in the distribution chain of instability in the Middle East.
Because Lebanon, the Syrian crisis has split into two hostile camps.One of them, led by the movement "Hezbollah", supports Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.The opposite camp, led by the "March 14 Movement", supports the growing Syrian revolution.If Syria will unfold the real war of "all against all", it is uniquely capture and Lebanon.
On the other hand, as the chief researcher of the Institute of World Economy and International Relations Georgy Mirsky, a potential conflict in Lebanon can not be put in a row with the rest of the events of the "Arab Spring."Lebanon - multi-confessional country, with the confessional system of government.The political decision-making is attended by representatives of all major religions.In such a situation in Lebanon can not, in principle, a dictatorship and, therefore, no reason to revolt against the alleged "usurper", as happened in Libya and Egypt.
Another danger of civil war in Syria is the so-called "humanitarian aid" from the United States.If the Syrian cities unfold armed conflict, the Americans "pulled" to its military bases, ostensibly to restore and maintain a peaceful environment.UN troops thus moving ever closer to the cherished Russian borders.The instability in the entire Middle East can be a direct benefit to them, helping to build strategic "bridge".On the other side is already Russia backs China pull its troops to become symbolic, in fact, the border.
Tip 2: What are the sanctions the UN Security Council prepares to Syria
anti-government protests in Syria began in 2011 and is still going on.Despite the declared cease-fire in April 2012, the authorities collision with the armed opposition continues, the number of victims has exceeded 12,000 people.Such a situation can not but worry the United Nations and the European Union, who are preparing a new draft resolution on Syria.
Despite the declared truce enforced by UN observers, both sides regularly report about new armed conflicts and victims.The new draft resolution designed to stop a bloody civil war in Syria and find a peaceful solution.Document prepared
UK, USA, France and Germany, in the event of default it provides for the Syrian government and the Syrian opposition certain sanctions.The new sanctions must be approved by the Foreign Ministers of the 27 EU countries at a meeting in Brussels.
sanctions include expanding the list of individuals and legal entities of Syria, whose assets in Europe frozen and entry into the European Union banned.In the 16th package of sanctions approved by June 25, 2012, this list was 129 citizens of Syria and 49 Syrian companies.
against Syria and tougher economic sanctions.In addition to the existing arms embargo proposed to prohibit insurance companies supply the arms of the European Union.
some controversy is the proposal of Great Britain, France, Germany and the United States to take advantage of Article 7 of the UN Charter to ensure that all items Syria resolution.This article allows countries to hold a UN-sanctioned military intervention in Syria.The representative of the United Kingdom Mark Grant and US Ambassador Susan Rice insisted on the necessity of such pressure on the Syrian government to state clearly the obligatory fulfillment of all conditions.
Against the reference to Article 7 of the Charter are Russia and China, representatives of these countries immediately announced they would block such a resolution.The official explanation for this decision was not.
Currently, members of the UN Security Council develop a plan for the creation of the interim government in Syria, in the future, this plan should lead to a national dialogue, participation of the people in the reform, free and fair elections.